Wednesday, 21 November 2007

Re the worrying storm forecasts.....

My earlier postings of storm warnings this coming weekend appear to have been superceded by a climbdown by the forecasters concerned. They are still insiting on a high chance of a storm wave, though the high winds are not expected to arrive down south.

"The main threat to Holland and the East/SouthEast coast of England from storm wave 1 (and probably also storm wave 2) will be the North Sea storm surge which will coincide with a series of exceptionally high tides - close to highest possible tides on and after 24th November. The Full Moon on 24th is also a lunar perigee full moon (i.e. closest to Earth) which makes the Moon look a little bigger and make it most effective at tide raising."

High tide
on Sunday (and it's a high one at 6.3m) is at 11am in Deal.

But if it doesn't happen, please forget that you read about it here first! If it does happen, I hope you're not on the Sandwich Bay Bird Observatory boat trip on Saturday.

The 'official' forecast for later in the week is for northerly winds up to gale force in the North Sea, so we may see another wave of Little Auks blown our way.

2 comments:

Adam said...

I was getting all worried for a minute (though why when I live in Maidstone I'm not quite sure!). Anyway keep up the good work - it would be nice to see more Little Auks, although there appearance as 'wrecks' probably means many won't survive. Lets see what turns up.

Adam

Steve of Kingsdown said...

Sorry to worry you Adam!

Another quote:

No "super storm" on the way
22 November 2007

DE BILT – Meteorologists at the KNMI institute say we will not be seeing a "super storm" this weekend. British meteorologist Piers Corbyn predicted earlier this month that a storm with wind speeds of 200 km per hour would hit northwestern Europe at the end of November.

The reports have no scientific basis whatsoever, says a spokesperson for the KNMI. "The weather may be stormy in the coming days, but that is normal for this time of year."

The KNMI says it has received a great many phone calls and emails from worried people since Corbyn's prediction. "Everyday we get between 50 and 100 phone calls asking about the ‘super storm'."